Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.223642 0.263864 0.308805 0.362679 0.425448 0.496212 0.581986
2025-08-03 0.162752 0.214150 0.277661 0.361658 0.469570 0.603268 0.781195
2025-08-10 0.123105 0.176241 0.247186 0.348327 0.488240 0.674309 0.939789
2025-08-17 0.095540 0.146838 0.219916 0.330816 0.493900 0.723774 1.070950
2025-08-24 0.080846 0.132107 0.209325 0.332942 0.524439 0.807983 1.257239
2025-08-31 0.066879 0.115622 0.192898 0.322793 0.533750 0.860311 1.400526
2025-09-07 0.058763 0.106892 0.186786 0.327082 0.564734 0.947437 1.605144
2025-09-14 0.051591 0.098440 0.179631 0.328140 0.589747 1.026708 1.804567
2025-09-21 0.044765 0.089411 0.170029 0.323321 0.603548 1.088029 1.979516
2025-09-28 0.039488 0.082356 0.162822 0.321505 0.621836 1.158057 2.175633
2025-10-05 0.037154 0.080598 0.165064 0.337216 0.673398 1.291239 2.496544
2025-10-12 0.035972 0.080950 0.171305 0.361180 0.742862 1.463281 2.904876
2025-10-19 0.033514 0.078522 0.172237 0.375872 0.798330 1.619161 3.307577
2025-10-26 0.029816 0.072838 0.165805 0.374898 0.822971 1.719803 3.617238
2025-11-02 0.025592 0.065221 0.154119 0.361113 0.819339 1.764109 3.819871
2025-11-09 0.021688 0.057641 0.141334 0.342990 0.803893 1.782225 3.970270
2025-11-16 0.019688 0.054356 0.137809 0.345191 0.833003 1.895827 4.331969
2025-11-23 0.017177 0.049313 0.129370 0.334686 0.831976 1.944528 4.558917
2025-11-30 0.015806 0.047032 0.127294 0.339126 0.866004 2.073350 4.975009
2025-12-07 0.014416 0.044445 0.124059 0.340221 0.892113 2.186914 5.368110
2025-12-14 0.012905 0.041238 0.118737 0.335232 0.902649 2.265578 5.688609
2025-12-21 0.011698 0.038701 0.114817 0.333352 0.920701 2.363659 6.064633
2025-12-28 0.011308 0.038573 0.117496 0.349615 0.987388 2.585441 6.760177